The Georgia '08 Senate Race And The '10 Governor's Race

(5/12/08) A Sunday night survey conducted by InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research showed the following results in this year’s hotly contested Democratic U.S. Senate nomination battle in Georgia and in the Republican battle to succeed Gov. Sonny Perdue two years from now.

Democratic U.S. Senate

If the race were held today, the results would be:

Vernon Jones: 21%
Dale Cardwell: 14%
Josh Lanier: 5%
Jim Martin: 3%
Rand Knight: 1%
Undecided : 56%

The survey was conducted among 400 registered voters who said they would vote in the Democratic primary this summer. It was weighted for age, race, and gender, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5%

Insider’s Matt Towery: “Jones has most of the African-American vote which equals nearly 50% of the primary. He must concentrate on the 54% of African-Americans who do not know him to put him near a Democratic nomination.

“Jones has a huge advantage, particularly in an Obama year. But if he gets in a runoff, he could easily lose as African-American voters don’t usually flood the polls in runoffs.”

Republican nomination for Governor

If the election were held today the results would be:

John Oxendine: 17%
Casey Cagle: 17%
Jack Kingston: 10%
Karen Handel: 7%
Lynn Westmoreland: 6%
Jerry Keen: 2%
Undecided: 41%

The survey was conducted among 400 registered voters who said they intend to vote in the next Republican primary for Governor. It was weighted for age, race, and gender and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5%)

Towery: “It’s an open field absent Johnny Isakson. But it is clear that the early frontrunners are Oxendine and Cagle. Kingston surprises a bit with a double digit response for a Congressman. That’s worth watching."